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Research Detail

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Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan*
Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Kagawa 7610793, Japan

Jennifer Saulam
Department of Food Processing and Nutrition, Karnataka State Akkamahadevi Women’s University, Vijayapura, Karnataka 586108, India

We analyzed the temporal trends and significant changes in apparent food consumption or availability in Bangladesh from 1961 to 2013. Due to the lack of a long-term national dietary intake dataset, this study used data derived from the FAO’s food balance sheets. We used joinpoint regression analysis to identify significant changes in the temporal trends. The annual percent change (APC) was computed for each segment of the trends. Apparent intake of starchy roots, eggs, fish, vegetables, milk, and vegetable oils significantly has increased (p < 0.05) in the Bangladeshi diet since 1961; whereas cereals changed by merely 4.65%. Bangladesh has been experiencing three structural changes in their dietary history after the Liberation War, though the intake level has been grossly inadequate. Initially, since the late-1970s, apparent vegetable oils intake increased at a market rate (APC = 7.53). Subsequently, since the early-1990s, the real force behind the structural change in the diet has been the increasing trends in the apparent intake of fish (APC = 5.05), eggs (APC = 4.65), and meat (APC = 1.54). Lastly, since the early 2000s, apparent intakes of fruits (APC = 20.44), vegetables (APC = 10.58), and milk (APC = 3.55) increased significantly (p <0.05). This study result reveals and quantifies the significant secular changes in the dietary history of Bangladesh from 1961 to 2013. Bangladesh has experienced inadequate but significant structural changes in the diet in the late-1970s, early-1990s, and early-2000s. An overabundance of cereals and inadequate structural changes in the diet may have caused the increasing prevalence of over weightiness and the emergence of diet-related, non-communicable diseases in Bangladesh.

  Apparent dietary intake; Food balance sheet; Joinpoint regression analysis
  Bangladesh
  00-00-1961
  00-00-2013
  Socio-economic and Policy
  Food

Data on the national availability of the main food consumed within a country provide valuable information and insights into diets and their temporal evaluation over time. Hence, the aim of this study was to analyze the temporal trends and significant changes in food available for consumption or apparent food consumption in Bangladesh from 1961 to 2013. Moreover, we have also discussed some of the possible drivers that might have acted to change the apparent food consumption or availability in Bangladesh.

2.1. Data Sources and Compilation Like most countries, food supply derived from the food balance sheets is a reliable and perhaps a very good option available to follow and analyze the trends of dietary changes at the national level. In this study, due to the lack of a long-term national dietary intake dataset, food availability data in Bangladesh were obtained from the FAO’s food balance sheets documented in the Food and Agriculture Organization Corporate Statistical Database (FAOSTAT) from 1961, the baseline year, to 2013, the latest available year. The food balance sheet data for Bangladesh was downloaded as comma separated values (.csv) files from the FAOSTAT database. The food balance sheet is compiled yearly and is an international resource of a country’s food availability during a certain period. Food availability is derived from production, supply, usages and wastages of food and provides information on the apparent consumption instead of actual consumption in the diet. Assessing the pattern and trend in the availability of food components is a useful tool for the assessment of changes in diet and can be applied to define dietary patterns. Food availability in a country is calculated based on: the amount of food exported, used for animals and in agriculture, or wasted, and is deducted from the amount of food produced and imported; the annual amount of available energy from food items is then divided by the total population of a country in the same period. Per capita, food availability data are represented as both kcal/day/person and kg/day/person in the FAOSTAT database. For the food intake, we obtained the dataset from FAOSTAT of the fully adjusted food supply with kg per capita per year values for each food item. We then divided the values in kg per capita per year by 365.25 to obtain values in kg per  capita per day and multiplied this amount by 1000 to obtain g per capita per day for each food item.

2.2. Operational Definition Since the data came from national food balance sheets rather than from a nationwide dietary survey, these intake data refer to “average food and nutrients available for consumption.” This does not indicate the food actually consumed, rather it indicates national availability for food (g/day/person). Hence, in the remainder of this article “apparent food consumption or intake” should be read as “food available for consumption” or “national availability of food”.

2.3. Food Groups and Recommended Intake For this study, dynamics and trends in apparent food intake or food availability were evaluated for eleven food items including cereals, starchy roots, pulses, fish, eggs, meat, vegetables, fruits, milk, vegetable oils, and sugar. Moreover, the food items that were grouped into these eleven food groups. In the meat group, the availability of meat and offal for consumption were added and combined in one group. We have not calculated the trends for animal fat intake because of its extremely low level of availability; from 1961 to 2013, animal fat intake was less than 1.0 g/day/person except in the year 1978 (about 1.01 g/day/person). Moreover, the nuts availability trend was also not analyzed for its extremely low availability (less than 3.0 g/day/person) in the diet. The recommended food intakes in the diet for the Bangladeshi population were derived from the desirable dietary pattern (DDP) for the Bangladeshi population. 

2.4. Trends Analysis To analyze the temporal trends and to identify significant changes in trends, we used Windows-based statistical software, the Joinpoint Regression Program (version 4.6.0.0, National Institute of Health, Bethesda, MD, United States), for performing the joinpoint regression by using joinpoint models. This software tests whether an apparent change in a trend is statistically significant (p <0.05). With the joinpoint regression analysis, it is possible to identify years when a significant change in the linear slope of the trend is detected over the study period. The best fitting points, called “joinpoints,” are chosen when the rate changes significantly. The analysis starts with the minimum number of joinpoints and tests whether one or more joinpoints (in this study up to 5) are significant and must be added to the model. To describe linear trends by period, the estimated annual percent change (APC) is then computed for each of those trends. Moreover, we calculated the average annual percent change (AAPC) as a summary measure of the trends over the period for each of the food items. The average annual percent change calculated as a geometric weighted average of APCs of various segments was used to quantify the trends of food intake changes in the diet of the Bangladeshi population over the entire available period of the FAOSTAT data from 1961 to 2013.

  Nutrients 2019, 11, 1864;
  doi:10.3390/nu11081864
Funding Source:
1.   Budget:  
  

This study allowed us to portray the temporal trends in apparent dietary intake in Bangladesh from 1961 to 2013. We found that the apparent intake of starchy roots, eggs, fish, vegetables, milk, and vegetable oils increased significantly in the Bangladeshi diet since 1961. Cereals availability in the diet was almost stable over the 53 years considered. Apparent food intake, though substantially inadequate (except cereals), significantly increased during the 1960s.The Liberation War and natural calamities during the early-1970s drastically reduced the apparent intake of fish, vegetable, fruits, and sugar. Bangladesh experienced three structural changes in its apparent dietary history after the Liberation War. Since the late-1970s, vegetable oils; since the late-1980s, fish, eggs, and meat; and since the early-2000s, milk, vegetables, and fruits available in the diet started to increase significantly, though the amounts have been grossly inadequate. These structural changes have increased the diversity in the diet, but the amount was grossly inadequate to have any positive effect on health. Most of these changes were related to the expansion effect and characterized by higher energy supply from cheaper foodstuffs of plant origins, mostly from cereals. The substitution effect, where shifts from carbohydrate-rich staples to foodstuffs of animal origin at the same overall energy supply, started but the amount was grossly inadequate in the diet, even at national level availability in Bangladesh. In a nutcover, an overabundance of cereals and grossly inadequate structural changes may act as the main causes of the increasing prevalence of over weightness and the emergence of diet-related, non-communicable diseases in Bangladesh.

  Journal
  


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