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Research Detail

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Jaba Rani Sarker*
Department of Agricultural Economics, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Agricultural University, Gazipur 1706, Bangladesh.

Md. Abdus Salam
Department of Agricultural Economics, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Agricultural University, Gazipur 1706, Bangladesh.

ARecently, Bangladesh Government has incorporated flowers in its export policy. Flowers can be a source of earning huge foreign currency if established as a traditional export item. Using crosssectional data obtained from a survey conducted during 2016/2017, gross margin analysis was used to calculate cost and returns for double (HYV) and single varieties tuberose farmers and multiple regressions for conducting input output relationship of different varieties of tuberose farming. Also, a probit model was performed to determine the probability of double variety tuberose by flower growers, particularly in Jessore district. Stratified random sampling technique was used to obtain data from 200 tuberose farmers. The results revealed that education, extension services training and credit access play significant roles in adoption decisions. The results also revealed that production of double variety tuberose is highly profitable than single variety. The tuberose farmers lack improved technology and are deprived of fair prices for their produces due to numerous reasons that need to be explored. Besides, the flower scientists, research managers, and policy makers in the country also lack socioeconomic data and information regarding tuberose cultivation which are very much important for further development of the crop.

  Economics, Tuberose, Variety adoption, Probit model, Bangladesh
  Jhikargacha and Sharsha under the Jessore district of Bangladesh
  00-02-2017
  00-03-2017
  Socio-economic and Policy
  Tube rose

At present, adoption of HYV tuberose for the sake of improved production and quality control of floricultural commodities is considered as one of the most burning issue. As a result, probit model was adopted to investigate the key.

Sampling and data: The sampling strategy for the present study is a combination of both purposive and random sampling. The two upazila, namely Jhikargacha and Sharsha under the Jessore district of Bangladesh, were chosen purposively based on the highest flower production area. Four villages were selected from each upazila; whereas the farmers at the village level were randomly selected. A complete list of tuberose growers were collected through the help of DAE personnel from the study areas. Finally, 200 tuberose farmers and 25 farmers from each village were randomly selected and data were collected during the month of February-March, 2017. A participatory methodology was followed to get information about technology adoption followed in the research locations. There are two dimensions of data available for analysis: (i) farmers who have received HYV tuberose, that is, technology receiver and (ii) farmers who did not receive any technology, that is, technology nonreceiver. Analytical technique Data collected were analyzed using descriptive statistics and multiple regression analysis. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze socio-economic characteristics of the farmers and constraints associated with tuberose cultivation. Gross margin analysis was used in analyzing cost and returns in tuberose cultivation per hectare. The tabular method of analysis involved different descriptive statistics and land use cost was calculated based on per year lease value of land. The profitability of tuberose cultivation was estimated using gross margin, net return, and benefit cost analysis. Linear regression analysis Multiple regression analysis was used to determine input output relationship of tuberose farming. Four functional forms, namely, the linear, semi-log, double-log and exponential were tried out while using the ordinary least squares estimates in assessing the regression model. The one that gave the best fit in terms of the magnitude of R2 , Adjusted R2 and the significance of the overall regression as judged by the F-ratio and the significance of the individual coefficients was chosen and reported. The multiple regression model was implicitly stated as: Y = f (X1, X2, X3, X4, X5, X6, X7,.......................................U) (i)

where Y=output of tuberose (stick), X1=Human labour cost ($), X2=Tuberose seedling cost ($), X3=Organic fertilizer cost ($), X4=Inorganic fertilizer cost ($), X5=Irrigation cost ($), X6=Pesticides cost ($), X7=Vitamin cost ($), and U=Error term. Gross margin is the difference between the total revenue (TR) and the total variable cost (TVC). It is a useful planning tool in situation where fixed capital is a negligible portion of farming enterprise as in the case of small-scale subsistence agriculture (Olukosi and Erhaor, 1988; Omotesha et al., 2010; Abdullahi, 2012). Probit model for estimating the determinants of adopting tuberose farming To analyze the adoption of tuberose cultivation, the probit model was utilize. The dependent variables in the adoption model are 0, 1 dummy variables; indicating one if a farmer adopt HYV (double varity tuberose) for flower cultivation and zero if otherwise. According to Gujarati (2004), there are three approaches for estimating the qualitative response of dummy dependent variables: (1) linear probability model (LPM); (2) logit model; and (3) probit model. The linear probability model (LPM) is a typical regression model, but the dependent variable is a dummy variable. The conditional anticipation of the dependent variable, given independent variables, is interpreted as the conditional probability. However, Wooldridge (2009) and Gujarati (2004) dispute that the linear probability model has some negative aspects, including nonnormality of the error term, the probabilities can be less than zero or greater than one, and the partial effect of any independent variable (appearing in the level form) is constant. These confines of the linear probability model can be triumphed over by the logit or the probit model.

  African Journal of Agricultural Research Vol. 13(45), pp. 2579-2586, 8 November, 2018
  DOI: 10.5897/AJAR2018.13497
Funding Source:
1.   Budget:  
  

Improved seed technology permits farmers to save labor and management time, by this means, improving productivity of farming operation. Using the cross sectional data and the probit model, the factors affecting the adoption of HYV tuberose (double variety tuberose) by farmers particularly from the highest flower production area was observed. In doing so, it compared production and profitability between HYV and single variety grown by the farmers in the study areas. Cultivation of improved variety results in higher production though it requires more capital. Ultimately, compared to non-adopters, adopters earn a significantly higher level of return. Tuberose seedlings, organic fertilizers, insecticides and vitamin had positive effect on double variety tuberose cultivation, while vitamin and irrigation human labour had positive effect on single variety tuberose farming. Extension services and training play a vital role in adoption of high yielding variety. Effective extension services and training considerably influence the adopters. The extension programmes for improved tuberose variety adoption are more likely to flourish among educated farmers. Those farmers who rely more on credit for their farming (such as farmers having more credit access) are more likely to be adopters. Access to credit assists farmers to adopt. Since farmers with access to credit are more capable in accumulating capital than their counterparts who do not have access, these farmers adopt more.

  Journal
  


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