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Research Detail

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Dr. Sanzidur Rahman
Corresponding author & Visiting Research Fellow
Department of Agricultural and Food Economics, The University of Reading 4 Earley Gate, Whitenights Road PO Box: 237, Reading RG6 6AR, UK

This paper examines the impact of technological change and/or ‘Green Revolution’ on income distribution and poverty in Bangladesh agriculture. Results suggest that the major beneficiaries of this technological change are the land and resource owners. Among the income determinants, modern technology, soil fertility, farm size, number of working members, and farm capital significantly increase crop and agricultural income, while developed infrastructure significantly increases non-agricultural income. Production of modern varieties of rice and wheat alone contributes 29 percent to total existing income inequality and reaches as high as 35 percent in ‘high adopter’ villages, thereby, indicating its unexpected adversity on income distribution and is also accompanied by highest (63 percent) number of population below poverty line. Estimates of Gini-coefficient, Sen index, Kakwani index, and FGT distributionally sensitive measure, consistently revealed that incidence of poverty is lowest in ‘medium adopter’ villages implying that high level of modern technology diffusion alone may not be the key to agricultural development and economic growth. Rather, a diversified cropping system including balanced level of modern technology adoption, a distinguishing feature of the ‘medium adopter’ villages, yields higher income and enjoys least inequality and poverty. Therefore, an integrated policy of decentralised crop diversification incorporating balanced level of modern technology adoption, soil fertility management, and rural infrastructure development to promote economic diversification is suggested. 

  Technological change in agriculture, Income distribution, Poverty, Bangladesh
  In Bangladesh
  
  
  Socio-economic and Policy
  Poverty, Smart farming

To examines the impact of technological change and/or ‘Green Revolution’ on income distribution and poverty in Bangladesh agriculture.

Distributional impacts of technological change and/or ‘Green Revolution’ have been mixed despite the fact that spread of this technology has been fastest of all in the history of technological innovations in agriculture. The overwhelming belief in the pursuit of this ‘highinput payoff’ model of agricultural development is due to its potential in increasing foodgrain productivity, employment as well as income (seen in many countries during 1960 – 1970s), thereby, alleviating poverty and hunger. The degree of controversy on the distributional impacts of modern agricultural technology becomes clear in Freebairn (1995), whose analyses on the results of 307 studies undertaken during the period 1970-89 revealed that about 80% of these studies had conclusions that the new technology widened both inter-farm and inter-regional income inequality. Interestingly, he noted that the nature of conclusion drawn in these studies were influenced by ‘regional origin of the authors’, ‘location of the study area’, ‘methodology followed’, and the ‘geographic extension of the study area’. In his words, ‘studies done by Western developed-country authors, those employing an essay approach, and those looking at multi-country region are most likely to conclude that income inequalities increased. By contrast, work done by Asia-origin authors, with study areas located in India or the Philippines, and using the case study method are more likely to conclude that increasing inequality is not associated with the new technology’ (Freebairn, 1995: p265). Scale non-neutrality has been one of the major criticisms of ‘Green Revolution’ (Wharton, 1969; Falcon, 1970; and Griffin, 1974) as well as high capital intensity that favor large farmers who are equipped with better information and financial capability. However, contrasting views (Hossain, 1989; Hossain et al., 1990; Dantwala, 1985; and Mellor, 1978) express that the new technology may benefit the poor in the long run in two ways. One, by reducing the cost of production and, thereby, lowering the prices of foodgrain on which the poor spent most of their money, and two, by generating more non-farm employment opportunities by suppressing real wages down and stimulating demand for non-farm goods and services. In this view, the cause of poverty is seen as the delayed adoption of technological change such that the beneficial effects tend to be offset by high population growth and therefore, slow rate of technological progress will accentuate poverty (Hossain, 1989). Bangladesh, being a predominantly agricultural economy with an extremely unfavorable landman ratio owing to high population density, also sought to pursue the policy of transforming agriculture through rapid technological progress to ‘alleviate poverty’ and widespread hunger. Consequently, over the past four decades, the major thrust of national policies has been directed towards diffusing the ‘Green Revolution’ technology (modern varieties of rice and wheat) with corresponding support in the provision of modern inputs, such as chemical fertilisers, pesticides, irrigation equipment, institutional credit, product procurement, storage and marketing facilities. Differential rate of modern variety adoption, variation in prices, and the impacts of this modern technology on production, employment, and expansion of markets for non-farm goods and services will ultimately affect the level and pattern of income distribution in the rural areas and hence have implications on poverty (Hossain, 1989). As such, the present study is aimed at analysing the distributional consequences of three decades of modern agricultural technology diffusion in Bangladesh, specifically, its impact on income, distribution of income and poverty using a wide variety of measures.

  Journal of International Development · February 1999
  DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1099-1328(199911/12)11:73.0.CO;2-8 · Source: RePEc
Funding Source:
  

The present study clearly demonstrated that the more diverse the cropping system the more is the total income from crop production and concentration of producing only modern varieties of rice/ wheat does not necessarily translate into high total income. Rather, a balanced mix of modern rice/wheat cultivation with non-cereal and/or cash crop production, an important feature of the ‘medium adopter’ villages, fetches the highest income associated with least level of inequality and poverty. Further, the existence of significant regional differences in income both from agricultural and non-agricultural sources limits the scope for prescribing a single policy of rural development to be implemented across the board. Rather, it calls for a decentralized crop diversification policy suited to specific regions and micro-climate that need to be integrated with improved soil fertility management and rural infrastructure development. The significant influence of soil fertility and infrastructure in raising income, particularly crop income, establishes the point. Therefore, an integrated policy of decentralized crop diversification incorporating balanced adoption of modern technology adoption (e.g., one main season in a crop year cycle), soil fertility management, and rural infrastructure development to promote economic diversification is suggested.

  Journal
  


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