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Research Detail

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Mohammed Ziaul Haider*
Economics Discipline, Khulna University, Khulna 9208, Bangladesh

Arif M. Faisal
Asian Development Bank, Bangladesh Resident Mission, Plot E-31, Sher-E-Bangla Nagar, Dhaka 1207, Bangladesh

This study administers a survey on available literatures and secondary data sources on shrimp cultivation in Bangladesh. The survey results indicate that there are significant variations in production and area coverage data under shrimp farming in the country. It also finds a lack of uniqueness and uniformity in the available dataset. This study uses the concept of extrapolation and makes some assumptions to confine into a representative and updated dataset of shrimp and prawn cultivated area and production in the south-west region of Bangladesh. The study findings indicate that the calculated shrimp and prawn cultivated area in the region is 0.19 million hectare (ha) with 0.15 million ha minimum and 0.23 million ha maximum values for the year 2011. It also confines the shrimp and prawn production value to 369 million US$ with 155 million US$ minimum and 667 million US$ maximum values in the region for the year 2011. Since there is no consensus yet in the literatures about the shrimp and prawn area coverage and production data, the findings of this study may be a benchmark for future studies.

 

  Shrimp cultivation, Area coverage, Production, South-west Bangladesh
  Khulna, Satkhira, Bagerhat, Chittagong and Cox’s bazaar
  
  
  Socio-economic and Policy
  Shrimp

An intensive review of the said literatures reveals that there are significant variation in production and area coverage dataset under shrimp cultivation in the country. The reporting time for shrimp cultivated area and production data in the said literatures also vary significantly. Therefore, the authors attempt to calculate a representative and updated dataset of shrimp cultivated area and production. Accordingly, the main objective of the study is to construct an updated, representative and comprehensive dataset of shrimp cultivated area and shrimp production in the south-west region of Bangladesh.

This study is mainly based on secondary data. Ahmed et al. (2008), Alauddin & Hamid (1999), ATDP II (2005), Barraclough & Finger-Stich (1996), BBS (2007 and 2011), DOF (1994 and 2011), DTS (2006), Hasanuzzaman et al. (2011), Huntington (2003), Khatun (2004), MPO (1986), NACA (2002), Nupur (2010), Raux and Bailly (2002), Rosenberry (1995), Sarwar (2005), and Williams & Khan (2001) are the main data sources for the study.

A survey on the available secondary sources indicates that a separate discussion and published dataset on shrimp (bagda) sector alone are scarce. Rather, the available sources often discuss both the shrimp and prawn together. Therefore, this study considers both shrimp and prawn (SP) aquaculture together. It is observed that there are variations in quantity, timing as well as units used in quantifying the shrimp production in Bangladesh. Therefore, this study considers 2011 as the study year and tries to convert the available price and monetary data of various years to present value (PV) of the year 2011. Moreover, this study uses 1 US$=80 Tk1 exchange rate to convert the ‘PV at Tk’ in US$. The study primarily focuses on the south-west (SW) region of Bangladesh. The Khulna, Satkhira and Bagerhat districts are defined as the SW region of Bangladesh in this study. 

The present study also tries to extend the result and predict for the whole SP producing area of the country. It considers Chittagong and Cox’s bazaar districts in addition to the SW region while discussing from Bangladesh perspective. The considered five districts (Khulna, Satkhira, Bagerhat, Chittagong and Cox’s bazaar) cover more than 90 percent of total SP producing areas in the country. To construct a representative data of SP production, the study uses six approaches, developed by the authors. The first approach uses total SP production data (in kg) and converts it into million US$ using price data and conversion factor (1 US$=80 Tk). Approach 2 uses total SP cultivated area in hectare (ha) and per unit production (in kg/ha) data and converts it into million US$ following the same method described for Approach 1. 

The third and fourth approaches use total SP cultivated area (in ha) and divide it under bagda and galda categories using available data. The third approach uses per unit production (in kg/ha) data and the fourth approach uses per unit production (in Tk/ha) data. Finally, in both the third and fourth approaches, the calculated results are converted into million US$. The fifth and sixth approaches use total cultivated area (in ha) and divide it under extensive, semi-intensive and intensive cultivation methods of SP farming using available data. The fifth approach uses per unit production (in kg/ha) data and the sixth approach uses per unit production (in Tk/ha) data. Finally, in both the fifth and sixth approaches, the calculated results are converted into million US$.

Here briefly describes the considered six approaches. There is no consensus yet in the literatures about which method suits best for calculating the monetary value of produced SP. Moreover, the calculated results vary significantly from each other. Hence, it might be difficult and misleading to advocate for one or more of the said approaches as best fit. For the very reason, the study considers all of these approaches and finally calculates the simple average of these six approaches to confine into a specific number. It also reports the standard deviation of the calculated average value. 

  Khulna University Studies Volume 13 (1): 97-113: January-June 2016
  
Funding Source:
1.   Budget:  
  

Review of available literatures finds a significant variation in the available data on shrimp cultivated area and shrimp production in Bangladesh. Diversity in reporting time, units of measurement, cultivation method, shrimp type and covered areas are the major issues that generate the variation. Moreover, dissimilarity is found among data of different sources even though reporting time and other features are similar. Therefore, the authors attempt to generate a representative and updated dataset of shrimp and prawn (SP) area coverage and production in the south-west region of Bangladesh. The authors try to represent the area data in ha and production data in US$. Year 2011 is the reporting year for this study. BBS and DOF are the two main sources that are consulted in this study. However, some other sources are also considered to confine into a specific number for the variables under consideration. The authors use the concept of extrapolation in this study to fill the data gap, as found to be necessary.

The study finds that the calculated SP cultivated area in the south-west region of Bangladesh is 0.19 million ha with 0.15 million ha minimum and 0.23 million ha maximum values for the year 2011. Similarly, the calculated SP cultivated area in Bangladesh is 0.26 million ha with 0.20 million ha minimum and 0.30 million ha maximum values for the year 2011. The calculations of this study under six approaches generate a wider variation in SP production data ranging from 36 to 936 million US$ for the south-west region of Bangladesh. Considering the simple average of these six approaches, this study confines the production value to 369 (±108) million US$ with 155 million US$ minimum and 667 million US$ maximum values for the year 2011 in the region. Similarly, the study findings indicate that the minimum and maximum values of SP production in Bangladesh are 207 and 893 million US$, respectively with an average value of 497 million US$ for the country in the year 2011.

This study calculates the shrimp and prawn area coverage and production using secondary information. It also makes some crucial assumptions, if relevant information are not available. Therefore, the accuracy of the study findings depends on the validity of those information sources and assumptions. For the very reason, the results of this study need to be carefully interpreted. Since there is no consensus yet in the literature about the shrimp area coverage and production data, the findings of this study may be a benchmark for future studies on shrimp sector of Bangladesh. 

  Journal
  


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