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U.K. Majumder
Department of Statistics, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University, Dinajpur

Anupam Dutta
Department of Statistics, Biostatistics and Informatics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka,

M. Saifur Rahman
Department of Statistics, Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University, Dinajpur

Ratna Rani Majumder
Genetics and Plant Breeding Division, BRRI, Joydebpur, Gazipur

D.N.R. Paul
School of Business, Uttara University, Dhaka, Bangladesh

In this paper, an attempt has been made to analyze the consumer demand behavior for different food items in rural households of Dinajpur sadar upzila by applying different forms of Engel models in slightly modified version. This has been done by analyzing the parameter estimates of the Engel models and interpreting the elasticities computed from these estimates. The study used the micro level cross-section data containing 638 households which were collected adopting a two-stage random sampling method. The Engel models were found to provide a very good fit to each of the food items under consideration. Budget shares showed high responsiveness to the expenditure variable in each form of Engel model for different food items considered in the present study. 

  Engel Models, Elasticities, Luxuries, Necessities and Inferior items.
  Four villages of Dinajpur sadar upazila.
  00-00-2005
  00-00-2006
  Socio-economic and Policy
  Modeling

The present study has made an attempt to estimate different forms of Engel models in order to study the consumer demand behavior for different food items in rural households of Dinajpur sadar Upazila. This has been done by analyzing the parameter estimates of the Engel models and also by considering the expenditure elasticities computed from these estimates. The study thus serves the following two purposes: (a) Estimation of different types of Engel models to analyze the consumer demand behavior for different food items under consideration, (b) Calculation of expenditure elasticities for different food items using the parameter estimates of the different forms of Engel models.

(i) The Data The study used the micro-level cross section data containing 638 households from four villages of Dinajpur sadar upazila. The data were collected in 2005-2006, adopting a two-stage sampling method. The upazila of Dinajpur sadar was selected purposively, then two unions (out of ten), namely Chehelgazi (with 33552 population) and Kamalpur (with 20075 population*) were selected randomly (BBS, 2005). The number of households as recorded in the government mouza lists was used for determining the households. A revenue village with a jurisdiction list number and defined area is called mouza. A mouza may be same as a village or there may be more than one villege in a mouza. After selecting the unions, two villages were chosen randomly from each selected union and all the households of the selected villages are considered for the study. Data were aggregated into the following 7 categories: (a) cereals, (b) roots and pulses, (c) vegetables, (d) fish, (e) meat and egg, (f) milk and sugar, (g) oil and spices. Monthly total expenditure and budget shares of the selected food categories were calculated for the sampled households. 

(iv) Model Specification In many developing countries (e.g. Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, etc.), consumers usually have the tendency to provide wrong information regarding their income. This leads to the researcher to consider per capita total monthly expenditure instead of income (y) as the explanatory variable and (iv) Model Specification In many developing countries (e.g. Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, etc.), consumers usually have the tendency to provide wrong information regarding their income. This leads to the researcher to consider per capita total monthly expenditure instead of income (y) as the explanatory variable and  x = X / z.

Where, X denotes total monthly expenditure of households and z, the household size. However, the literature review of some previous studies with Engel models ( Ferdous, 1997 ; Khanam and Ferdous, 2000 ; Mullah and Ferdous, 2006 etc.) has shown that a model in which budget shares are considered related to per capita total expenditure provides an excellent fit to the data. As a consequence, we have used budget share ( Wi ) as the dependent variable rather than quantity demanded for ith commodity ( q i ).

(vi) Estimation In dealing with household expenditure data, a careful attention is needed in the estimation of a possibly heteroscedastic demand system subject to cross equations or non-liner restrictions. In the present study, the Engel models have been estimated by Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) procedure using SPSS version 12.0 (SPSS, Inc) in the absence of cross equation or non-liner restrictions. The usual mean-variance assumptions are made regarding the random error term. However, using R software version 2.7.1 (R, 2008) the Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey (BPG) test has been performed which confirmed the presence of heteroscedasticity in the data set. In order to solve this problem, it is assumed that the error variance is proportional to the per capita total monthly expenditure (x), 

  J. Sci. Technol. (Dinajpur) Vol. 6:112-120 (2008) ISSN 1994-0386
  
Funding Source:
1.   Budget:  
  

In the present study, it is intended to analyze the consumer demand behavior in rural households of Dinajpur sadar upazila by applying three different forms of Engel models. In doing so, the study considered linear, semi-logarithmic and reciprocal forms of Engel models in which budget share and per capita total monthly expenditure were considered as the dependent and independent variables, respectively. Each of these applied models provided a very good fit to the all the food items considered in the current study. The budget shares for most of the items were highly responsive to the expenditure variable in each form the Engel models. The items cereals, roots and pulses, vegetables, fish and oil and spices were considered as necessities by the consumers of concerned upazila of Dinajpur. Milk and sugar, on the other hand, was viewed as significant luxury product. The expenditure coefficient (ßi) was found to be insignificant for the item meat and egg, which was showed as luxury product. This indicates that the purchasing capacity of the rural people of Dinajpur is not too high to have such a rich food item regularly. Hence it is necessary to implement any agricultural price intervention policies for the people of rural Dinajpur in order to maximize their satisfaction with minimum expenditure. The study is thus likely to contribute to public policy formulations in the rural area of Bangladesh.

  Journal
  


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