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Research Detail

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Sara Nowreena
Institute of Water and Flood Management (IWFM), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET), Dhaka, Bangladesh

Preetha Haqueb
Ryerson University, Environmental Engineering, Toronto, Canada

M. Shahjahan Mondala
Institute of Water and Flood Management (IWFM), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET), Dhaka, Bangladesh

Rashed Uz Zzamana
Institute of Water and Flood Management (IWFM), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET), Dhaka, Bangladesh

Explicit consideration of in-stream flow requirement (IFR) has now become almost mandatory in many rivers before irrigation withdrawal is made. Thereby, the primary objective was to evaluate the IFR through hydrological approaches and compare the condition with current flow variability and trends. Flow records were collected from five discharge stations for IFR estimation. Performance of the river was also judged with respect to nine hydraulic cross-sectional data and stage data of ten water-level monitoring stations of BangladeshWater Development Board (BWDB). Results showthat since 2000, the upper Karatoawas able to meet IFR, but the lowest part of the river experienced severe deterioration in addressing its dry season functionality. Also, the decreasing trend in off-stream availability is recognized as a threat to the Singra site resulting from severe aggradations of the river beds.Attention to the less off-stream availability at Singra raises concerns over sustaining the river from drying out. It is now evident that a hydrological approach of IFR is more than just an initial rough estimate. Such a precautionary method works well to provide quick technical support and decision reference for a complex system, in particular, to find specific drying out parts of a river of concern.

  Flow characteristics, Indicators of hydrologic alteration, In-stream flow, Non-parametric trends and statistics
  In Bangladesh
  
  
  Resource Development and Management
  Water management

To assess in-stream flow requirements; to estimate water resource availability for offstream uses; and to evaluate the river condition based on existing flow variabilities and trends.

The Karatoa-Atrai River is a trans-boundary river in Bangladesh that was one of the main branches of the old course of the Teesta River before the great earthquake and flood of 1787. After the Teesta had abandoned its old route, Karatoa-Atrai gradually degraded and was entirely cut off from the original  Teesta. At present, the Karatoa-Atrai originates in a beel, or depressed area, of Baikunthapur in India and initially enters into Bangladesh (latitude 26°280 and longitude 88°360 ) at Bardeshwari in Panchagarh district. It runs towards the south up to Sahamjhiaghat before entering India again and running for 50 km within India. The river re-enters Bangladesh (latitude 25°100 and longitude 88°460 ) at Naogaon, flows southward, meets the Little Jamuna (this Jamuna is not the Brahmaputra-Jamuna, it is another river flowing through the district of Naoga) near Rasulpur, and ultimately falls at Hurasagar. This is a long river with a total length of about 455 km. For the present analysis, the river has been divided into two reaches, namely, Karatoa and Atrai. The upper reach is considered to be Karatoa, which extends from Panchagarh to Dinajpur before entering into India, and the lower reach is considered to be Atrai, when it re-enters into Bangladesh from Naogaon and flows up to its outfalls at Hurasagar River. According to the data availability of at least 25 years of record, five discharge measurement stations and ten water level measurement stations of Bangladesh Water Development Board (BWDB) were selected for the study.  The record length varies considerably. The smallest record length is 25 years and the largest is 50 years. The average record length is 33 years and the standard deviation is 9.1 years. In addition to the measured fortnightly discharge dataset, daily (generated) mean discharge data (up to 2006/07) that are stored at BWDB were also collected.There is no widely accepted single flow value or threshold level that will better characterize low flows concerning the conservation of natural morphology and ecosystem or aquatic organisms. Therefore, threshold level selection of an in-stream flow is critical. The value is dictated by a function of the objectives pursued. Notably, an extensive amount of literature exists on the selection of approaches to determine in-stream (or environmental) flow requirement of rivers (Baghel et al., 2018; Sharma, 2019). These are called in-stream flow methods because they deal with flows ‘in the stream’. There is no single technique or combination of techniques that satisfy all conditions of rivers. In a review of the status for determining environmental flows, Tharme (2003) recognized the existence of 207 individual methodologies, recorded in 44 countries around the world. These methodologies are broadly categorized into four major distinct methods: hydrological, hydraulic rating, habitat simulation and holistic/integrated methodologies (Zeiringer et al., 2018). As far as low-flow studies of Bangladesh are concerned, several important works have estimated the in-stream flow of several rivers, namely, the Surma, Kushiyara (Bari & Marchand, 2006), Teesta (Mullick et al., 2013), Gorai (Moly et al., 2015; Rahman et al., 2017), Dudhkumar (Hossain & Hosasin), Halda (Akter & Ali, 2012), Turag (Rahman et al., 2013), Ganges (Gain et al., 2011), etc. The National Water Management Plan (NWMP) of Bangladesh reported month-wise dependable flows for major and regional rivers assessed by frequency analysis of monthly flow data (WARPO, 2000). The NWMP also considered the minimum flow requirement of the Lower Meghna River, studied by Chowdhury & Haque (1990). Decade-wise changes in discharge were reported for the Gumti River (Chowdhury, 1979), Ganges and Brahmaputra (Chowdhury & Hossain, 2003; Mondal et al., 2010). However, in general, discharge measurements are rarely precise in the low-flow range. The lack of available (quality) data is generally a problem, especially in low-flow analyses. Regionalized methods are often used for transferring information about low-flow, especially to ungauged basins as depicted by Blöschl (2013), Laaha et al. (2013), and Salinas et al. (2013). Furthermore, low-flow frequency analyses and FDC methods were mostly performed through various distribution statistics for different regions of Bangladesh, namely, studies by Bari & Islam (2006) and Bari & Sadek (2002).

  Water Policy 22 (2020) 70–84
  
Funding Source:
  

The most common characterization of the adequacy of river health focuses on in-stream flow. Provision for in-stream uses was also explicitly recognized by the Bangladesh Water Act, 2013 and National Water Policy, 1999. However, in-stream flow assessment is a complicated process and needs both consultation and technical assessment. The large numbers of in-stream flow requirement (IFR) methods have been categorized in different ways, and there is no universally accepted method for all rivers. Any one method cannot provide all that IFR needs, and minimum flow assessments are always subjected to re-evaluation with changing demands for different indicators. On the other hand, the classical method used for a minimum (or low) flow estimation focuses on the analyses of hydrologic data that are useful for assessing various characteristics of minimums in rivers. Hence, as a part of reconnaissance level assessments, the hydrological approach was chosen to evaluate the Karatoa-Atrai River condition because it is inexpensive and rapid with simple data requirements; and later results can be upgraded by further local input and/or professional judgement. Additionally, a variable IFR threshold was chosen along the river considering the seasonal patterns of the flow. This is because there is no single threshold level that is preferable, and the selection of a specific threshold level always remains a subjective decision. Drawing on discussions in IFR, this research finally explores the historical offstream water availability for the Kartoa-Atrai River located in the northwest of Bangladesh over the last 50 years. Ultimately, the study identified the urgent need of introducing measures to increase the water discharge capacity of the lowest part of the river so that the continuous lowering of the river water during the dry months can be reduced. Otherwise, the river might lose its perennial characteristics. As previously mentioned, the IFR results, presented, are of a preliminary nature largely due to the single hydrological approach to assess seasonal flow needs. These results can provide preliminary estimates of in-stream flow before undertaking any detailed, expensive and time-consuming analyses. Such approaches lack ecological support, give low confidence answers and have a danger in extrapolation to different unsuitable regions (O’Keeffe, 2009). Yet, results of hydrological studies are expected to be useful for water resource practitioners in Bangladesh, like the Institute of Water Modeling (IWM) and the Center for Environmental and Geographic Information Services (CEGIS) for sustainable and safeguard subsistence use of river resources. In other words, the output of this study can be helpful to decision-makers in undertaking river restoration and resuscitation tasks, e.g., the Water Resources Planning Organization (WARPO) and BWDB in allocating water for different uses. However, it is essential to conduct further work to improve the accuracy based on other specific flow requirements for the Karatoa-Atrai River. The output provided by the study was only a small part of the data necessary for effective policy making and management of river resources. One and only information (i.e., flow), by itself, is usually insufficient for the formulation of recommendations regarding accurate off-stream flow use. Additional information (e.g., biological, socio-political) and associated analyses need to be conducted to address the specific habitat/water issues within this river. However, it is now evident from this study that the hydrological approach of IFR is more than just an initial rough estimate. This single process works satisfactorily to find specific drying out parts of a river of concern. In particular, where budget and time are the constraints, the findings of hydrological IFR can at least be used to find the specific location of a river in need of extra/immediate attention by the water organizations and practitioners in planning, regulation and maintenance.

  Journal
  


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