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Research Detail

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Tushaar Shah
International Water Management Institute, IWMI-Tata Water Policy Program, Elecon, Anand-Sojitra Road, Vallabh Vidyanagar, 388 120 Gujarat, India

O. P. Singh
International Water Management Institute, IWMI-Tata Water Policy Program, Elecon, Anand-Sojitra Road, Vallabh Vidyanagar, 388 120 Gujarat, India

Aditi Mukherji
Department of Geography, Fitzwilliam College, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB3 ODG, UK

Since 1960, South Asia has emerged as the largest user of groundwater in irrigation in the world. Yet, little is known about this burgeoning economy, now the mainstay of the region’s agriculture, food security and livelihoods. Results from the first socio-economic survey of its kind, involving 2,629 well-owners from 278 villages from India, Pakistan, Nepal Terai and Bangladesh, show that groundwater is used in over 75% of the irrigated areas in the sample villages, far more than secondary estimates suggest. Thanks to the pervasive use of groundwater in irrigation, rain-fed farming regions are a rarity although rain-fed plots within villages abound. Groundwater irrigation is quintessentially supplemental and used mostly on water-economical inferior cereals and pulses, while a water-intensive wheat and rice system dominates canal areas. Subsidies on electricity and canal irrigation shape the sub-continental irrigation economy, but it is the diesel pump that drives it. Pervasive markets in tubewell irrigation services enhance irrigation access to the poor. Most farmers interviewed reported resource depletion and deterioration, but expressed more concern over the high cost and poor reliability of energy supply for groundwater irrigation, which has become the fulcrum of their survival strategy

  Agriculture, South Asia, Groundwater development, Well-owner survey, Socio-economic aspects
  India, Pakistan, Nepal Terai and Bangladesh
  
  
  Socio-economic and Policy
  Groundwater

The objectives of the survey were: 1. To understand the spatial and temporal patterns of groundwater irrigation relative to the hydrogeological conditions in different parts of the sub-continent 2. To develop an estimate of groundwater contribution in irrigated areas and compare it with other available estimates 3. To analyse energy pricing and supply policies as a key driver of the region’s groundwater economy 4. To analyse the dominant role of the diesel pump in providing supplemental irrigation-on-demand 5. To analyse the size and significance of pump-irrigation markets in the region’s groundwater economy 6. To ascertain farmer perceptions about key challenges facing the groundwater irrigation economy of South Asia. Since the main objective of the survey was to make an overall socio-economic assessment of groundwater contribution to South Asian agriculture, the sampling plan was driven by the need for geographic representation.

Overview of the irrigation economy of the sample villages In analysing the survey data, the aim was to capture the socio-economic and hydrogeological diversity of the region. Therefore, the national political boundaries were retained, but within each country, states/provinces were grouped, or parts thereof, into hydrogeological and socioeconomically homogeneous zones. Eastern India, for instance came to include West Bengal, Bihar, coastal Orissa and eastern Uttar Pradesh, a region in the eastern Indo-Gangetic Basin (IGB) that shares the characteristics of alluvial aquifers, high rainfall and recharge, high concentration of rural poverty and stagnating agriculture. Nepal Terai also shares all these, but was treated as a separate zone because it belongs to a different national policy regime. Similarly, the central Indian tribal belt was carved out from several states and separated from the hard-rock inland peninsular India because the former is dominated by tribal communities that are different from the people inhabiting the latter region. In this manner, the sub-continent was divided into 12 so-called ‘hydro-economic (H-E) zones’ based on their hydrogeological, socio-economic and political profile. Later in the analysis, these 12 zones were combined in a variety of ways to test a number of hypotheses regarding the functioning of the sub-continental groundwater economy.

The energy-groundwater nexus South Asia’s groundwater economy is closely intertwined with its energy economy. Energy pricing and supply policies for agriculture have shaped the size and structure of groundwater irrigation economies that have emerged in different H-E zones. Debroy and Shah (2003) have drawn attention to the energy-divide as a major feature of India’s groundwater economy. They have suggested that, owing to different electricity pricing and supply policies pursued by electricity utilities, India faces an energy divide. Eastern states in India have suffered progressive rural de-electrification 9 since mid 1980s (Sharma 1989; Shah 2001); as a consequence, groundwater irrigation has come to be increasingly dependent upon the more costly and dirtier diesel fuel. Shah (2001) also argued that because of its diesel-dependence, groundwater-rich eastern India and Nepal Terai under-irrigate and in general are unable to take full advantage of the one resource they have plenty of, viz. groundwater.10 Extending the analysis to the subcontinental scale suggests that the diesel-electricity divide is more a north–south phenomenon than an east–west one, as Fig. 5 suggests. Groundwater irrigation throughout the Indo-Gangetic Basin and the North-West Frontier Province (NWFP) in Pakistan is dependent on oil/diesel engines; 75–95% of its installed pumping capacity uses diesel as the energy source, with north-western India– Punjab, Haryana and Western Uttar Pradesh–having a lower diesel horse power (HP) ratio than electricity at 54%. As we move southward, diesel is steadily replaced by electricity. This energy-divide has major implications for the economics of groundwater irrigation in South Asia. It is useful to regroup the 12 hydro-economic (H-E) zones into 3 groups to highlight how electricity pricing and supply policies are central in shaping the sub-continent’s groundwater economy. Group I represents H-E zones where the agricultural electricity supply is metered and enjoys little or no subsidy; group II represents regions where the electricity supply to agriculture is heavily subsidised in nominal terms but since electricity supply, as well as infrastructure, have deteriorated greatly, there is hardly any use for electricity in groundwater irrigation, and hence, little effective subsidy. Group III represents the vast part of western and southern India where electricity subsidy to groundwater irrigation is real and substantial. The preponderance of electric WEMs in group III shows the effects of perverse electricity subsidies on the political economy of groundwater irrigation in western and southern India. In contrast, in group I regions, where there is relatively little cost advantage in using electricity, diesel pumps dominate groundwater irrigation.

  Hydrogeology Journal (2006) 14: 286–309
  DOI 10.1007/s10040-005-0004-1
Funding Source:
1.   Budget:  
  

1. Although, from the viewpoint of long-term sustainability, groundwater development should be consistent with the availability of the resource in different regions, the analysis suggest uneven patterns of development in this respect. However, at the level of aggregation chosen, north-western India emerges as a serious case of overdevelopment of the resource; north-west Bangladesh has a large resource base that is intensively used; elsewhere in eastern South Asia, there seems to be room for carefully planned development. 2. At the sub-continental scale, the IWMI-Tata survey found that 55% of irrigated areas in the sample villages are under ‘pure groundwater irrigation’; this figure increases to 75% if conjunctive use areas are added. Pure canal irrigation serves only 14.5% of irrigated areas in sample villages, and ‘other sources’ account for less than 5%. In India, groundwater contribution is higher at 76% of irrigated areas in the sample villages; with conjunctive use, this ratio rises to 87% of irrigated areas. All these estimates suggest groundwater irrigation to have acquired greater quantitative significance than what is generally believed to be the case in the region. 3. In the South Asian context, terms like ‘rain-fed’ and ‘irrigated’ areas are meaningful only on the scale of parcels of farm holdings. Just around 5% of the villages surveyed counted themselves as totally rain-fed; in ‘tubewell dominated villages’, accounting for 42% of the total net cultivated area from all the surveyed villages, groundwater irrigation accounted for over 95% of irrigated area. However, even in canal dominated villages and conjunctive use villages, ‘pure tubewell irrigation’ accounted for 25 and 15% of the total irrigated area, respectively. 4. The preferred crops in groundwater dominated villages are coarse cereals, pulses, oilseeds, fibres and monsoon season (kharif or monsoon) paddy—all of which thrive under supplemental irrigation; wheat-rice rotation dominates conjunctive use and canal dominated villages. 5. Groundwater development is believed to be in some ways self-regulating; as groundwater use intensifies in a region, declining water tables raise the cost of pumping, placing a brake on further development. However, there is little sign that such self-regulating mechanisms have begun to work in the sub-continent, if continued growth of WEMs is any guide; if anything, the analysis suggests that the real intensification has only begun during the past decade. Around 50% of the WEMs covered by the survey were established after 1993, and there seems to be no indication of decline in the rate of the growth of WEMs, although the rate of the growth in total groundwater withdrawal may well be lower than the rate of the growth in the number of WEMs. 6. Energy pricing and supply policies have played a central role in shaping South Asia’s groundwater economy. At the sub-continental scale, a north–south energy divide was found with diesel pumps dominating the groundwater economy in the north, and electric WEMs dominating it in the south. 7. The analysis lends macro-level support to the hypothesis from micro-level research that the diesel pump is the mainstay of the poor and that the electricity subsidies provided in India are cornered primarily by the better off, since the average owner of the electric WEM has a larger, less fragmented land holding; and this gap becomes particularly sharp in all of India except the eastern region which has suffered progressive rural de-electrification. 8. There is also some support to the hypothesis that energy pricing and supply policies have a significant impact on the farmers’ choice of electricity or diesel as the source of motive power, and also on their use of pumps. In Pakistan Punjab and Sindh as well as in Bangladesh, where electricity is metered and commercially priced, diesel and electric pumps are evenly balanced. In eastern India and Nepal Terai, where ‘effective electricity subsidies’ are zero or negative, diesel pumps have increased rapidly as a proportion of the total WEMs in use. In the rest of India, electric WEMs have been growing steadily since the 1970s in response to significant ‘effective electricity subsidies’ available to farmers. Electric WEMs everywhere are operated for longer hours per year as well as per hectare compared to diesel WEMs. 9. Do electricity subsidies also result in a higher use of energy and water per hectare? The survey offers indications that they do. For kharif paddy and winter wheat, the average hours of pumping per hectare are far higher for electric WEM owners in western and southern India compared to diesel WEM owners there, or all groundwater irrigators elsewhere. 10. On the sub-continental scale, however, no single factor has played as dominant a role in creating new irrigation as the diesel pump. In a regression model that relates the net irrigated area to the number of diesel and electric WEMs, and the presence of canal, river, tanks/ponds in 278 villages, it was found that the impact of diesel WEMs is twice that of electric WEMs and 3.5 times higher than canals in explaining variations in the net irrigated area across sample villages. 11. Claims that groundwater accounts for 60% of India’s irrigated area are often contested on the ground that even if we take 200 km3 as the annual groundwater draft for irrigation, it can barely meet the crop water requirement of 25–30 million ha of land at 6,500–8,000 m3 of E-T per hectare of field crop, especially because India has large areas cultivated with rice which uses 10–12,000 m3 of water/ha consumptively. The survey results show that tubewell irrigation in most parts of South Asia is supplemental irrigation; that the average groundwater use is at best 30–50% of the total E-T requirements of these crops. The farmers use tubewells to ‘leverage’ rainwater precipitation and soil moisture and seem to be effective in optimizing returns to irrigation. 12. The IWMI-Tata survey also throws light on the functioning of pump irrigation markets in South Asia. It shows that these have shrunk in terms of breadth as well as depth in much of western and southern India because of both the growing pump density and the declining groundwater availability per WEM; in contrast, pump irrigation markets are booming in eastern India, Nepal Terai and Bangladesh as well as in Pakistan Punjab. The analysis also estimates that some 5 million ha of land in South Asia are irrigated by purchased pump irrigation. These results, however, are at variance with some other large-scale surveys published recently (Mukherji 2005). 13. The veracity of the popular hypothesis that South Asia’s water seller is a water lord who is ‘pumping groundwater for power and profit’ was tested. Whereas in specific situations this may well be correct, the subcontinental analysis shows that a typical water seller is a small landholder with fragmented land holdings who uses water selling to make the WEM viable. 14. While benefits of groundwater irrigation are widely recognized, there is growing concern about groundwater depletion and quality deterioration due to unregulated withdrawal. Finally, the survey tried to ascertain if farmers find water table decline, salinity, declining well yields as key problems facing them. The survey results suggested that by far the most important problems farmers perceive have to do with high energy costs of pumping and unreliable electricity supply. Falling water tables, salinity and others do figure, but are less critical than the energy cost and supply issues.

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