M. A. Matin
Senior Scientific Officer
Agricultural Economics Division, BARI, Gazipur.
M.I. Hossain
Chief Scientific Officer
Agricultural Economics Division, BARI, Gazipur.
M. R.Karim
Senior Scientific Officer
Agricultural Economics Division, BARI, Gazipur.
The study is conducted in 2004-05 to assess the growth, fluctuation, and instability and price flexibility of mango in Bangladesh. The Growth rate of real prices of mango was found to increase over the period due to increasing population and high demand of mango in Bangladesh. The nominal price increase was caused by inflationary effect. The extent of fluctuation of nominal prices was higher relative to area, production and field fluctuation. Price flexibility analysis revealed that harvested amount and the post harvest prices has negative relationship for mango in Bangladesh. In order to improve the growth with stability in production, new thrust on research must be in the direction of evolving high-yield-cum-high-stability varieties suitable for rain fed as well as irrigated area and also greater emphasis should therefore, be given for evolving short duration and weather tolerant high-yielding varieties of mango.
Growth, instability, price flexibility, mango.
Rajshahi and Dinajpur districts
i. To asses the extent of price, area, production and yield fluctuation of mango,
ii. To see the growth rates of price , area, production and yield of mango and understudying the changed occurred,
iii. To find out price, area, production and yield instabilities of mango,
iv. To determine the price flexibilities and see the role of supply of output in influencing current prices of mango and
v. To identify probable factors affecting the price variations.
Two districts of Bangladesh namely Rajshahi and Dinajpur were selected for major mango growing areas for this study. These two districts contributed more than 36 per cent towards the country’s mango production (BBS, 2001). Data were collected from secondary sources like Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), Department of Agricultural Marketing (DAM) and other related agencies in Bangladesh. For the time series analysis, the study covers the time period of 1985-86 to 2000-01 as a recent data. In the present study harvest prices of mango was taken for analysis.
Annual Research Report 2005, Agricultural Economics Division, BARI, Gazipur
The extent of annual nominal and deflated price fluctuations of mango in Bangladesh was identified which was between 39 and 190 and 78.79 to 63.50 percent respectively. The extreme fluctuation of nominal prices took place in the year 1997/98. Area, production and yield fluctuated from 0.03 to 4.17, 2.28 to 10.23 and 3.13 to 10.26 percent respectively during the study period. The compound growth rates of real price of mango increased at the rate of 2.58 percent during the study period. The Growth rate of real prices of mango was found to increase over the period due to increasing population and high demand of mango in Bangladesh. The nominal price increase was caused by inflationary effect. Instabilities of real, nominal price, area, yield and production were found 1438, 2088, 2.70, 16.60 and 24.14 in term o instability index. So price instability occupied the highest level followed by production, yield and area during the study period. Price flexibility analysis revealed that harvested amount and the post harvest prices has negative relationship for mango in Bangladesh. In order to improve the growth with stability in production, new thrust on research must be in the direction of evolving high-yield-cum-high-stability varieties suitable for rain fed as well as irrigated area and also greater emphasis should therefore, be given for evolving short duration and weather tolerant high-yielding varieties of mango.
Report/Proceedings